After a tumultuous start, the S&P 500 has continued its record rise this year.     NEW YORK (CNNMoney)
While the all-important monthly jobs report comes out on Thursday (a day earlier than usual because of the three-day weekend), there's not much else on the economic or earnings calendars to move the markets.
But as the first half of the year comes to a close this week, we here at CNNMoney are in a reflective mood. After all, you can't know where you're going until you know where you've been.
Here's what you need to know about the markets year-to-date, and what to possibly expect for the rest of 2014.
The calm after the storm: It wasn't pretty at first. After a record run in 2013, stocks were hit by turmoil in the first quarter as harsh winter weather dampened corporate profits and the emerging markets rapidly sold off as investors worried that the tightening of Federal Reserve's easy money spigot would reverberate to those countries that were relying on cheap foreign investment to fuel growth.
Throw in the crisis in Ukraine, it it looked like investors were in for a wild ride.
But warmer Spring weather eventually came, the emerging markets' fears subsided, and the tense standoff between Russia and the West has seemingly been dialed back for now.
Related: Russian markets: They're baaack!
Stocks have been the "little engine that could," slowly pushing higher. The S&P 500 closed at a record high 22 times this year, according to Jeffrey Hirsch of the Stock Trader's Almanac.
The blue chip index has gained about 6% so far this year, and the tech-heavy Nasdaq is up 5%. The Dow's rise has been less pronounced, but it is still positive at about 1.6%.
Even emerging markets have rebounded. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF, which was battered in the first quarter, is now in positive territory for the year.
Further, as companies take advantage of a rising stock market and ultra-low interest rates, mergers and acquisitions activity and initial public offerings have been hot this year. GoPro (GPRO) is the latest mega success, having jumped 50% since its debut on Thursday.
Winners and Losers: The stocks with the most gains so far in 2014 have come from a wide range of sectors. In the S&P 500: Keurig Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) has jolted up 65%, while Electronic Arts (EA, Tech30), the best performer on CNNMoney's Tech 30 Index, has soared 55%.
Southwest (LUV)and Delta Airlines (DAL) have both climbed over 40%, and Under Armour (UA) has risen around 35%.
In the loser category, Coach (COH) has taken the worst with an almost 40% decline, while Whole Foods (WFM) has dropped over 30%. Staples (SPLS), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), Best Buy (BBY), and Amazon (AMZN, Tech30) aren't far behind in the unglamorous contest for the biggest loser.
Ok, now what? What will happen in the second half of the year is anybody's guess, but that doesn't mean market strategists of all stripes aren't trying to predict the future.
In a midyear report, analysts at BlackRock said that while stocks aren't cheap, the market should continue to rise. They recommend favoring large cap stocks and cyclical sectors like energy over small cap stocks and companies in the consumer discretionary sector such as retailers.
CNNMoney's most recent survey of investment strategists finds that most are still bullish. They anticipate a 6.5% gain for the S&P 500 this year. The index is well on track for that already.
Related: Excited for iPhone 6? Check out this stock
Another question for the markets going forward revolves around interest rates. Although the Federal Reserve has maintained that it plans to keep its key federal funds rate near zero for the rest of the year, the Bank of England is likely to start hiking rates in the fall, and that could have repercussions for the U.S., according to economists from Barclays.
"The lesson here is that rate expectations can change very quickly," they said.
First Published: June 29, 2014: 8:52 AM ET
 Jack Ma is taking Alibaba public in what could be the biggest IPO in U.S. history.     
 Bob McDonald, a former CEO of Procter & Gamble, is President Obama's nominee for Veterans Affairs secretary.     
 Red Bull North America has settled with the U.S. over alleged Cuba sanction violations     
 GM's recalls continue as the automaker announces four more, affecting nearly 430,000 vehicles in the U.S.     
 Walmart will cut the price of the iPhone on Friday at 9 a.m.     
 Feinberg's plan is expected to disclose details about who is eligible for compensation and how much money they could receive.     
 GM has asked dealers to stop selling some 2013-2014 Chevy Cruzes due to an airbag issue.     
 Google gave out a set of cardboard goggles that work with your smartphone to create a basic virtual reality experience at its developer conference on Wednesday.     
  
  

 Paul Konigsberg, Bernie Madoff's former accountant, faces up to 30 years in prison.     
 Honda, Nissan, Mazda and Toyota are recalling millions of cars because of faulty inflators for Takata air bags.     
  
 Click for more market data.     
     
 A tall latte will cost between 15 and 20 cents more after Tuesday.     
 Actress and producer Mindy Kaling was the host at an event geared toward getting more young girls interested in tech.     
 World of Warcraft helped make Stephen Gillett the chief information officer of Starbucks. He's now COO of Symantec.     
  
 Legislators in the Bay State approved an     
 The new 'Yo' app revolutionizes communication as we know it with one simple word.